Lynchburg, Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

220
FXUS61 KRNK 081851
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
251 PM EDT Tue Apr 8 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure and dry weather will continue into Wednesday. Low
pressure will track from the Mississippi Valley to the Mid
Atlantic states Thursday and Friday, bringing showers.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 100 PM EDT Tuesday...

Key messages:

     - Freeze Warning Foothills/Piedmont Tonight
     - Dry and milder Wednesday

High pressure will slide over the area tonight with winds
diminishing after sunset. As the high sets up with dewpoints in
the teens, look for substantial cooling overnight. Sub-freezing
temps will occur area wide with lows running about 15 degrees
below normal, with 20s for most, some teens in the valleys like
Burkes Garden. Freeze warning for east of the mountains since
the growing season has started according to Agricultural
interests.

High pressure pushes east Wednesday. Southwest flow will bring
temps milder than today but still about 5-10 degrees below
normal east but closer to normal in the mountains, with upper
50s to lower 60s for much of the region.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
...As of 200 PM EDT TUESDAY...

Key Messages:

1) On and off showers through the end of the workweek

An upper level trough will begin to deepens and intensify late
Thursday and into Friday. The GFS in particular has the trough
cutting off and becoming a cutoff low centered around the OH River
Valley. This trough is progged to move slowly from west to east,
giving plenty of time for a surface low to form in response to the
upper level vorticity, as well as several shortwaves to transit the
trough. AS such, showers will be more or less continuous in the CWA
and keep rain in the forecast most of Thursday and through Friday.

Temperatures will be mild, and below normal for mid-April. Highs
will be in the 50s and low 60s, with lows in the 30s and low 40s.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
...As of 240 PM EDT TUESDAY...

Key Messages:

1) Lingering showers through much of the weekend

2) Return of warmth to start next week possible

A deep trough or cutoff low will be moving at a slow pace from west
to east over the weekend, finally placing us on the western end of
the axis sometime Sunday morning. Therefore, expect rain showers for
much of the area on Saturday and lingering through Saturday night.
Temperatures may be low enough for a rain/snow mix late Saturday
night or very early Sunday morning, but there will be no impacts due
to the brief and light nature of any frozen precip.

As heights rise and a ridge moves in to take the trough/cutoff low`s
place on the east coast, temperatures will begin to rebound from the
cooler temperatures of the previous week. Highs will be back above
normal by early next week.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 105 PM EDT Tuesday...

High pressure provides VFR through the period. FEW/SCT VFR
cumulus this afternoon will fade by sunset, as will the gusty
northwest winds.

Above average confidence for ceiling, visibility, and wind.

.EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

VFR conditions continue through early Wednesday night.

A low pressure system will bring another chance of
precipitation and potential sub- VFR conditions, as early as
late Wednesday night in the mountains, with sub-VFR potential
remaining into the early part of the weekend.

This system may clear out of the area on Saturday, with a lower
chance of precipitation only in the mountains. Clouds will
remain through Saturday, mainly sub-VFR west to VFR east.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...Freeze Warning from 2 AM to 9 AM EDT Wednesday for VAZ022>024-
     032>035-043>047-058-059.
NC...Freeze Warning from 2 AM to 9 AM EDT Wednesday for NCZ003>006-
     019-020.
WV...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...AMS/WP
NEAR TERM...WP
SHORT TERM...VFJ
LONG TERM...VFJ
AVIATION...AMS/WP